Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-2025-280
https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-2025-280
30 Dec 2025
 | 30 Dec 2025
Status: this preprint is currently under review for the journal WES.

Sensor-Error-Robust Normal Behavior Modeling for Wind Turbine Failure Prediction Using a Masked Autoencoder

Xavier Chesterman, Ann Nowé, and Jan Helsen

Abstract. Condition monitoring and failure prediction in wind turbines has become an increasingly important research area due to its substantial economic impact. Accurate early detection of developing faults enables more efficient maintenance planning and minimizes costly downtime. However, predicting failures from operational wind farm data remains challenging. Real-world datasets are often affected by measurement noise, incomplete expert knowledge, and extraneous operating conditions, all of which complicate the identification and classification of emerging problems. This work presents a methodology designed to address one critical obstacle: measurement errors caused by faulty or unreliable sensors. Such errors can substantially degrade the performance of Normal Behavior Models (NBM), thereby hindering the detection of anomalies and incipient failures. To mitigate this issue, we introduce an approach based on masked autoencoders (MAE) that selectively suppresses signals deemed unreliable by domain experts or automated diagnostics. The proposed method is evaluated using four datasets from real operational wind farms. We analyze the impact of sensor-induced errors on NBM performance and demonstrate how the MAE framework improves robustness in the presence of corrupted measurements. The results highlight the potential of the method to improve the reliability of data-driven failure prediction systems in practical wind turbine applications.

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Xavier Chesterman, Ann Nowé, and Jan Helsen

Status: open (until 27 Jan 2026)

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Xavier Chesterman, Ann Nowé, and Jan Helsen
Xavier Chesterman, Ann Nowé, and Jan Helsen
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Short summary
This paper presents a sensor-error-robust methodology for failure prediction in wind turbines. Sensor malfunctions pose a significant challenge for data-driven prognostic approaches. The proposed method employs a masked autoencoder that enables selective deactivation of signals. Evaluation is done using data from several operational offshore wind farms. Results demonstrate that the model effectively mitigates the impact of sensor errors while maintaining high accuracy in failure prediction.
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