Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-2026-80
https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-2026-80
20 May 2026
 | 20 May 2026
Status: this preprint is currently under review for the journal WES.

Validating wind farm parameterizations with offshore SCADA data

Balthazar Arnoldus Maria Sengers, Lukas Vollmer, and Martin Dörenkämper

Abstract. A large-scale validation compared wind farm parameterizations (WFPs) of the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model to multi-year SCADA (Supervisory Control and Data Acquisition) data from six offshore wind farms. Although initially seven WFPs were considered, after preliminary assessment only three distinct ones were retained: the original Fitch (Fitch-O), a physics-derived axial induction modification of Fitch (Fitch-pAIM), and the Explicit Wake Parameterization (EWP). The study, conducted at 2 km and 0.67 km resolutions, revealed total energy yield differences of ±5 % compared to SCADA data, with finer resolutions having a lower yield due to enhanced internal wake effects. The remainder focused on addressing the main sources of uncertainty affecting the total energy yield. The modeled mean wind speed was likely too low, leading to an energy yield underestimation. Only Fitch-pAIM accurately modeled the power curve and therefore the gross yield, while Fitch-O and EWP underestimated power by neglecting local induction effects. Internal wake magnitudes were well captured by Fitch-O and Fitch-pAIM at fine resolution, while EWP consistently produced too shallow wakes. All WFPs showed signatures of global blockage and a dependency of wake losses on the vertical structure of the boundary layer. Lastly, external wakes were well captured by all parameterizations.

The results demonstrate that Fitch-pAIM outperforms other WFPs at resolutions smaller than the turbine spacing. Despite the limitations in accurately reproducing wake features in narrow wind direction sectors, WPFs accurately capture the total wake loss making their use suitable for AEP calculations.

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Balthazar Arnoldus Maria Sengers, Lukas Vollmer, and Martin Dörenkämper

Status: open (until 18 Jun 2026)

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Balthazar Arnoldus Maria Sengers, Lukas Vollmer, and Martin Dörenkämper
Balthazar Arnoldus Maria Sengers, Lukas Vollmer, and Martin Dörenkämper
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Short summary
This work compared parameterizations used in mesoscale models to estimate wind energy production against operational data from several offshore sites. Results showed differences of about five percent, with higher resolution reducing generated power due to stronger wakes. One approach best reproduced key aspects of wind farm performance. Overall, results underline known limitations, but confirm these models are useful for estimating wind farm performance.
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