Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-2026-92
https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-2026-92
18 Jun 2026
 | 18 Jun 2026
Status: this preprint is currently under review for the journal WES.

Wind resource assessment in flow-distorting terrain: Techno-economic comparison of fixed-wing UAVs & profiling LiDAR

Phuong Anh Nguyen, Ewoud Vos, and Danial Hassani

Abstract. This study conducts a head-to-head techno-economic comparison of vertical profiling Light Detection and Ranging (LiDAR) and fixed-wing Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) deployments for wind resources assessment at a representative 120 MW onshore project in flow‑distorting terrain in Germany. A simplified energy yield model and a Monte Carlo framework propagate literature-based measurement and flow model uncertainties through different measurement scenarios to the exceedance levels (P50, P90) of Annual Energy Production (AEP), Net Present Value (NPV) and Levelized Cost of Electricity (LCOE). The analysis shows that both technologies achieve similar point measurement uncertainties (±0.4–0.5 m/s, ±7–10°). The dominant lever for reducing AEP uncertainty and improving P90 is increased direct spatial coverage, not marginal gains in instrument accuracy. Under consistent cost and financing assumptions, UAV-based deployments deliver the largest P90 uplift, higher NPV and lower LCOE than LiDAR configurations.

Competing interests: Danial Hassani is the founder of Alveo AB, which is commercially developing the UAV platform mentioned in this study, and provided the technical data used in designing four measurement scenarios. The remaining authors declare no competing interests.

Publisher's note: Copernicus Publications remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims made in the text, published maps, institutional affiliations, or any other geographical representation in this paper. While Copernicus Publications makes every effort to include appropriate place names, the final responsibility lies with the authors. Views expressed in the text are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the publisher.
Share
Phuong Anh Nguyen, Ewoud Vos, and Danial Hassani

Status: open (until 16 Jul 2026)

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
Phuong Anh Nguyen, Ewoud Vos, and Danial Hassani
Phuong Anh Nguyen, Ewoud Vos, and Danial Hassani
Metrics will be available soon.
Latest update: 18 Jun 2026
Download
Short summary
The study compared fixed‑wing drones and ground‑based LiDAR for wind measurements in hilly terrain. As wind data determines project value, we modelled how measurement errors affect energy yield estimation, profit, and electricity cost. Both technologies showed similar one‑point uncertainty, but wider site coverage mattered far more than small accuracy gains. Drones, surveying larger areas, delivered the most reliable estimates and strongest financial returns.
Share
Altmetrics