Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-2025-101
https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-2025-101
26 Jun 2025
 | 26 Jun 2025
Status: this preprint is currently under review for the journal WES.

Adaptive economic wind turbine control

Abhinav Anand and Carlo L. Bottasso

Abstract. Model predictive control (MPC) for wind turbines offers several interesting advantages over simpler techniques, as for example the direct optimization of a goal function, the inclusion of constraints, non-linear coupled dynamics, and wind preview (when available). To enable real-time execution, MPC uses a reduced order model (ROM) that approximates the dynamics of the controlled system using only a limited number of degrees of freedom. As a result, the accuracy of the ROM is often the main limit to the performance of MPC. To address this problem, an adaptive controller-internal model can reduce plant-model mismatches, potentially leading to improved performance.

This work proposes an adaptive economic nonlinear MPC (ENMPC) for wind turbines. The controller maximizes profit by optimally balancing fatigue damage cost with revenue due to power generation. The cyclic fatigue cost is formulated directly within the controller using the novel parametric online rainflow counting (PORFC) approach. PORFC provides a rigorous continuous expression of the discontinuous cyclic fatigue cost using time-varying parameters. Adaptivity is obtained by a controller-internal grey-box model that combines reduced order physical dynamics with data-driven correction terms. These are implemented via a neural network that is trained offline. Additionally, system state and disturbance estimators are included in the closed-loop controller.

The improvement in state predictions due to model adaptation is first assessed and compared with respect to the non-adapted baseline ROM in open loop. The performance of the adaptive ENMPC and the impact of a reduced plant-model mismatch is then assessed in closed loop for a reference multi-MW onshore wind turbine in a realistic simulation environment. Results show that the adaptive ENMPC yields higher economic profits at significantly lower pitch and torque travels, compared to the baseline non-adaptive ENMPC. While the enhanced closed-loop performance and economic gains of the proposed model adaptation are significant, they come at the cost of a slight increase in the computational burden of the controller.

Competing interests: At least one of the (co-)authors is a member of the editorial board of Wind Energy Science.

Publisher's note: Copernicus Publications remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims made in the text, published maps, institutional affiliations, or any other geographical representation in this preprint. The responsibility to include appropriate place names lies with the authors.
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Abhinav Anand and Carlo L. Bottasso

Status: open (until 24 Jul 2025)

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Abhinav Anand and Carlo L. Bottasso

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Adaptive economic wind turbine control - Software and data Abhinav Anand and Carlo L. Bottasso https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.15530467

Abhinav Anand and Carlo L. Bottasso
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Short summary
We formulate a controller for wind turbines that has three main characteristics. First, it optimizes profit by balancing revenue from power generation with cost. Second, cost includes the effects of cyclic fatigue that, departing from most of the existing literature on control, is rigorously accounted for by an exact cycle counting on receding horizons. Third, it uses a model capable of learning and improving its performance based on measured or synthetic data.
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