Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-2025-227
https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-2025-227
10 Dec 2025
 | 10 Dec 2025
Status: this preprint is currently under review for the journal WES.

Economic Viability of Floating Offshore Wind in Portugal with Varying Market Conditions and Financial Support Mechanisms

Craig White, José Cândido, and Ciaran Frost

Abstract. This study assesses the economic viability of commercial scale floating offshore wind farms in Portugal, under a range of CfD mechanisms. A techno-economic model was created to create synthetic range of time series wind and spot price data that creates financial revenue under varying CfD types, water depths, and distances to shore. Results are split into levelized cost of energy, net present value, and internal rate of return and are influenced by a range of sensitivity analyses that help define the financial setting for successful floating offshore wind projects, including CfD mechanisms varying in type, value and duration. Results show promise for the development of floating offshore wind but only under strong financial support and are heavily influenced by site, wind regime and economic conditions.

Publisher's note: Copernicus Publications remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims made in the text, published maps, institutional affiliations, or any other geographical representation in this paper. While Copernicus Publications makes every effort to include appropriate place names, the final responsibility lies with the authors. Views expressed in the text are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the publisher.
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Craig White, José Cândido, and Ciaran Frost

Status: open (until 07 Jan 2026)

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Craig White, José Cândido, and Ciaran Frost
Craig White, José Cândido, and Ciaran Frost
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Short summary
This paper presents a realistic assessment of the economic case for floating offshore wind development in Portugal. The site of one of the first demonstrator projects but as yet still to develop into commercialisation. Updated costs and CfD revenue mechanisms assess the current economic performance and are presented with a range of maps that aim to clearly show which areas show promise and which may bring more challenges. 
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