Articles | Volume 11, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-11-737-2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-11-737-2026
Research article
 | 
04 Mar 2026
Research article |  | 04 Mar 2026

Gearbox bearing crack growth prognostics and uncertainty quantification with physics-informed machine learning

Mario De Florio, Gabriel Appleby, Jonathan Keller, Ali Eftekhari Milani, Donatella Zappalá, and Shawn Sheng

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Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on wes-2025-157', Anonymous Referee #1, 07 Sep 2025
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC1', Mario De Florio, 27 Oct 2025
  • RC2: 'Comment on wes-2025-157', Anonymous Referee #2, 15 Sep 2025
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC2', Mario De Florio, 27 Oct 2025

Peer review completion

AR – Author's response | RR – Referee report | ED – Editor decision | EF – Editorial file upload
AR by Mario De Florio on behalf of the Authors (27 Oct 2025)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Publish as is (12 Nov 2025) by Michael Muskulus
ED: Publish as is (14 Nov 2025) by Carlo L. Bottasso (Chief editor)
AR by Mario De Florio on behalf of the Authors (14 Nov 2025)
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Short summary
We developed a new method to predict when wind turbine parts are likely to fail, allowing maintenance to be planned before costly breakdowns occur. By combining real measurements from turbines with knowledge of how cracks grow in metal, our approach gives more reliable forecasts even when only limited data are available. We also measure how confident the predictions are, helping operators make better decisions. This can reduce downtime and lower the cost of wind energy.
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