Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-2025-279
https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-2025-279
23 Feb 2026
 | 23 Feb 2026
Status: this preprint is currently under review for the journal WES.

Verification-Based Assessment of Modelling Assumptions in Discrete-Event Simulation of Operation and Maintenance for Floating Offshore Wind

Lu-Jan Huang, Simone Mancini, Daniel Mulas Hernando, and Rob Hammond

Abstract. Floating offshore wind offers access to deep-water wind resources but remains challenged by high and uncertain operation and maintenance (O&M) costs. Discrete-event simulation (DES) models are widely used to evaluate O&M strategies, yet variations in modelling assumptions often lead to inconsistent estimates and limit confidence in their use for decision support. This study applies a structured verification framework to examine how key assumptions influence O&M simulation outcomes, using two DES-based models configured with a harmonized deep-water floating wind reference case. While maintenance cost estimates remain broadly consistent across models, substantial differences arise in wind farm availability and in downtime-related revenue losses, which constitute a major share of total O&M costs. These differences are driven primarily by how turbine operational states are represented during maintenance activities, including off-shift periods and tow-to-port operations. Quantifying the influence of these assumptions provides generalizable insight relevant to the wider O&M modelling community, where such choices are implemented inconsistently. Building on the verified modelling foundation, several alternative O&M strategies including service operation vessel–based logistics, floating-to-floating major component replacement, and condition-based maintenance are evaluated, yielding total O&M cost reductions of up to 5 % in the examined case. The findings strengthen model transparency and reproducibility while demonstrating how verified simulation tools can support the assessment of emerging operational concepts in floating offshore wind.

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Lu-Jan Huang, Simone Mancini, Daniel Mulas Hernando, and Rob Hammond

Status: open (until 23 Mar 2026)

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Lu-Jan Huang, Simone Mancini, Daniel Mulas Hernando, and Rob Hammond
Lu-Jan Huang, Simone Mancini, Daniel Mulas Hernando, and Rob Hammond
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Short summary
This study shows how different modelling assumptions made in discrete-event simulation models can change predictions of maintenance costs and power losses for floating offshore wind farms. By testing two models under the same conditions, we identify which assumptions matter most and how they shape results. The findings help improve the reliability of future models and support better planning of maintenance strategies for floating wind projects.
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