Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-2026-102
https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-2026-102
29 Jun 2026
 | 29 Jun 2026
Status: this preprint is currently under review for the journal WES.

Brief communication: Enhanced wind turbine fatigue load estimation using digital shadows with data-driven bias correction

Hadi Hoghooghi and Carlo L. Bottasso

Abstract. This study proposes a digital shadow framework for wind turbine load estimation that integrates a linearized industrial-grade aeroelastic model with a deep learning–based bias correction (BC) method. To address model mismatches and limited inflow representation, a learning-based bias correction strategy is introduced, where static bias terms are first calibrated via wind-speed-dependent fitting, followed by perturbed correction profiles and parametric simulations to construct a digital shadow dataset. A neural network (NN) is then trained to map operating conditions and bias parameters to load estimation errors, enabling adaptive correction under unseen conditions.

The proposed method is validated using field data spanning diverse inflow conditions, achieving a reduction in blade bending moment DEL prediction errors at the 25 % span location from 15–25 % to below 5 %. This demonstrates strong robustness and improved capture of inflow–structure interactions. Overall, the framework provides a scalable pathway to data-driven digital shadows and a foundation for future digital twin applications in real-time load estimation and operational optimization.

Competing interests: At least one of the (co-)authors is a member of the editorial board of Wind Energy Science.

Publisher's note: Copernicus Publications remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims made in the text, published maps, institutional affiliations, or any other geographical representation in this paper. While Copernicus Publications makes every effort to include appropriate place names, the final responsibility lies with the authors. Views expressed in the text are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the publisher.
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Hadi Hoghooghi and Carlo L. Bottasso

Status: open (until 27 Jul 2026)

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Hadi Hoghooghi and Carlo L. Bottasso
Hadi Hoghooghi and Carlo L. Bottasso
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Short summary
Reliable wind turbine fatigue load estimates are key to assessing structural integrity and service life. This study integrates a simplified simulation model with machine learning to enhance predictions while protecting industrial design confidentiality. It achieves DEL errors under 5 % across varied conditions and performs well on simulated and field data, supporting improved monitoring, maintenance, and lifetime assessment.
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