Articles | Volume 10, issue 6
https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-10-1137-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-10-1137-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Spatio-temporal graph neural networks for power prediction in offshore wind farms using SCADA data
OWI-Lab, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Pleinlaan 2, 1050 Elsene, Belgium
Acoustics & Vibration Research Group, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Pleinlaan 2, 1050 Elsene, Belgium
Artificial Intelligence Lab Brussels, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Pleinlaan 2, 1050 Elsene, Belgium
Timothy Verstraeten
OWI-Lab, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Pleinlaan 2, 1050 Elsene, Belgium
Acoustics & Vibration Research Group, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Pleinlaan 2, 1050 Elsene, Belgium
Artificial Intelligence Lab Brussels, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Pleinlaan 2, 1050 Elsene, Belgium
Pieter-Jan Daems
OWI-Lab, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Pleinlaan 2, 1050 Elsene, Belgium
Acoustics & Vibration Research Group, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Pleinlaan 2, 1050 Elsene, Belgium
Ann Nowé
Artificial Intelligence Lab Brussels, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Pleinlaan 2, 1050 Elsene, Belgium
Jan Helsen
OWI-Lab, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Pleinlaan 2, 1050 Elsene, Belgium
Acoustics & Vibration Research Group, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Pleinlaan 2, 1050 Elsene, Belgium
Flanders Make, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Pleinlaan 2, 1050 Elsene, Belgium
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Ivo Vervlimmeren, Xavier Chesterman, Timothy Verstraeten, Ann Nowé, and Jan Helsen
Wind Energ. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-2025-49, https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-2025-49, 2025
Preprint under review for WES
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We introduce a new method to refine failure prediction for wind turbines, leading to better and more efficient alarming. We do this by filtering detected anomalies based on the anomalies from the whole fleet. We compare submethods and find one that removes up to 65 % of detected anomalies while leaving the failure-predicting ones. We also detail how we trained the model that generated these anomalies and discuss the construction of the scalable pipeline that was used to deploy such models.
Stijn Ally, Timothy Verstraeten, Pieter-Jan Daems, Ann Nowé, and Jan Helsen
Wind Energ. Sci., 10, 779–812, https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-10-779-2025, https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-10-779-2025, 2025
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Wind farms are crucial for a sustainable energy future. However, their power can fluctuate significantly due to changing weather conditions, which complexly affect their power generation. This paper presents a novel machine-learning-based method to enhance wind farm power predictions, enabling improved power scheduling, trading and grid balancing. This makes wind power more valuable and easier to integrate into the energy system.
Konstantinos Vratsinis, Rebeca Marini, Pieter-Jan Daems, Lukas Pauscher, Jeroen van Beeck, and Jan Helsen
Wind Energ. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-2025-32, https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-2025-32, 2025
Preprint under review for WES
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Using data collected over 13 months at an offshore wind farm, our study shows that a wind turbine’s position within the farm influences its energy output at a given wind speed. Front-row turbines respond differently to similar wind speeds and turbulence than those further back. This finding suggests that current methods for characterizing inflow conditions may not fully capture actual wind behavior, underscoring the need for improved performance analysis techniques.
Jakob Gebel, Ashkan Rezaei, Adithya Vemuri, Veronica Liverud Krathe, Pieter-Jan Daems, Jens Jo Matthys, Jonathan Sterckx, Konstantinos Vratsinis, Kayacan Kestel, Amir R. Nejad, and Jan Helsen
Wind Energ. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-2024-173, https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-2024-173, 2025
Preprint under review for WES
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A simulation model of a deployed offshore wind turbine was developed using real-world measurement data. The method shows how to obtain, update and validate a simulation model and allows to improve the efficiency and longevity of offshore wind turbines and support operation and maintenance decisions. Simulations were conducted to analyze the effects of turbulence and wind patterns on turbine lifespan, providing insights to improve maintenance planning and reduce operational costs.
Rebeca Marini, Konstantinos Vratsinis, Kayacan Kestel, Jonathan Sterckx, Jens Matthys, Pieter-Jan Daems, Timothy Verstraeten, and Jan Helsen
Wind Energ. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-2025-9, https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-2025-9, 2025
Revised manuscript not accepted
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This work evaluated the wind profile in a Belgian offshore zone. The estimated wind profile was made using measurements that allow for reconstruction at heights along the rotor area. The IEC standard defines these profiles as a 1/7th power law, which is proven not to occur 100 % of the time. It is also possible to infer that there will be differences when using different wind profiles for load assessment, as more realistic profiles can lead to a better assessment of the wind turbine's lifetime.
Faras Jamil, Cédric Peeters, Timothy Verstraeten, and Jan Helsen
Wind Energ. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-2024-114, https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-2024-114, 2024
Revised manuscript accepted for WES
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A hybrid fault detection method is proposed, which combines physical domain knowledge with machine learning models to automatically detect mechanical faults in wind turbine drivetrain components. It offers detailed insights for experts while giving operators a high-level overview of the machine's health to assist in planning effective maintenance strategies. It was validated on multiple years of wind farm data and the potential faults were accurately predicted, which was confirmed by experts.
Diederik van Binsbergen, Pieter-Jan Daems, Timothy Verstraeten, Amir R. Nejad, and Jan Helsen
Wind Energ. Sci., 9, 1507–1526, https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-9-1507-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-9-1507-2024, 2024
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Wind farm yield assessment often relies on analytical wake models. Calibrating these models can be challenging due to the stochastic nature of wind. We developed a calibration framework that performs a multi-phase optimization on the tuning parameters using time series SCADA data. This yields a parameter distribution that more accurately reflects reality than a single value. Results revealed notable variation in resultant parameter values, influenced by nearby wind farms and coastal effects.
Xavier Chesterman, Timothy Verstraeten, Pieter-Jan Daems, Ann Nowé, and Jan Helsen
Wind Energ. Sci., 8, 893–924, https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-8-893-2023, https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-8-893-2023, 2023
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This paper reviews and implements several techniques that can be used for condition monitoring and failure prediction for wind turbines using SCADA data. The focus lies on techniques that respond to requirements of the industry, e.g., robustness, transparency, computational efficiency, and maintainability. The end result of this research is a pipeline that can accurately detect three types of failures, i.e., generator bearing failures, generator fan failures, and generator stator failures.
Adithya Vemuri, Sophia Buckingham, Wim Munters, Jan Helsen, and Jeroen van Beeck
Wind Energ. Sci., 7, 1869–1888, https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-7-1869-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-7-1869-2022, 2022
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The sensitivity of the WRF mesoscale modeling framework in accurately representing and predicting wind-farm-level environmental variables for three extreme weather events over the Belgian North Sea is investigated in this study. The overall results indicate highly sensitive simulation results to the type and combination of physics parameterizations and the type of the weather phenomena, with indications that scale-aware physics parameterizations better reproduce wind-related variables.
Amir R. Nejad, Jonathan Keller, Yi Guo, Shawn Sheng, Henk Polinder, Simon Watson, Jianning Dong, Zian Qin, Amir Ebrahimi, Ralf Schelenz, Francisco Gutiérrez Guzmán, Daniel Cornel, Reza Golafshan, Georg Jacobs, Bart Blockmans, Jelle Bosmans, Bert Pluymers, James Carroll, Sofia Koukoura, Edward Hart, Alasdair McDonald, Anand Natarajan, Jone Torsvik, Farid K. Moghadam, Pieter-Jan Daems, Timothy Verstraeten, Cédric Peeters, and Jan Helsen
Wind Energ. Sci., 7, 387–411, https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-7-387-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-7-387-2022, 2022
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This paper presents the state-of-the-art technologies and development trends of wind turbine drivetrains – the energy conversion systems transferring the kinetic energy of the wind to electrical energy – in different stages of their life cycle: design, manufacturing, installation, operation, lifetime extension, decommissioning and recycling. The main aim of this article is to review the drivetrain technology development as well as to identify future challenges and research gaps.
Related subject area
Thematic area: Wind technologies | Topic: Offshore technology
Estimating microplastic emissions from offshore wind turbine blades in the Dutch North Sea
A new gridded offshore wind profile product for US coasts using machine learning and satellite observations
Sensitivity analysis of numerical modeling input parameters on floating offshore wind turbine loads in extreme idling conditions
Gaussian mixture autoencoder for uncertainty-aware damage identification in a floating offshore wind turbine
Effect of Rotor Design on Energy Performance and Cost of Stationary Unmoored Floating Offshore Wind Turbines
Experimental Validation of Parked Loads for a Floating Vertical Axis Wind Turbine: Wind-Wave Basin Tests
Dynamic performance of a passively self-adjusting floating wind farm layout to increase the annual energy production
OC6 project Phase IV: validation of numerical models for novel floating offshore wind support structures
Quantifying the impact of modeling fidelity on different substructure concepts for floating offshore wind turbines – Part 1: Validation of the hydrodynamic module QBlade-Ocean
A new methodology for upscaling semi-submersible platforms for floating offshore wind turbines
Sensitivity analysis of numerical modeling input parameters on floating offshore wind turbine loads
Design optimization of offshore wind jacket piles by assessing support structure orientation relative to metocean conditions
Comparison of optimal power production and operation of unmoored floating offshore wind turbines and energy ships
Marco Caboni, Anna Elisa Schwarz, Henk Slot, and Harald van der Mijle Meijer
Wind Energ. Sci., 10, 1123–1136, https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-10-1123-2025, https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-10-1123-2025, 2025
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In this study, we assessed the total quantity of microplastics emitted by wind turbines currently operating in the Dutch North Sea. The estimates of microplastics currently emitted from offshore wind turbines in the Netherlands account for a very small portion of the total microplastics released offshore in the Netherlands, specifically less than 1 ‰.
James Frech, Korak Saha, Paige D. Lavin, Huai-Min Zhang, James Reagan, and Brandon Fung
Wind Energ. Sci., 10, 1077–1099, https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-10-1077-2025, https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-10-1077-2025, 2025
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A machine learning model is developed using lidar stations around US coasts to extrapolate wind speed profiles up to the hub heights of wind turbines from surface wind speeds. Independent validation shows that our model vastly outperforms traditional methods for vertical wind extrapolation. We produce a new long-term gridded dataset of wind speed profiles from 20 to 200 m at 0.25° and 6-hourly resolution from 1987 to the present by applying this model to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)/National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI) Blended Seawinds product.
Will Wiley, Jason Jonkman, and Amy Robertson
Wind Energ. Sci., 10, 941–970, https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-10-941-2025, https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-10-941-2025, 2025
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Numerical models, used to assess loads on floating offshore wind turbines, require many input parameters to describe air and water conditions, system properties, and load calculations. All parameters have some possible range, due to uncertainty and/or variations with time. The selected values can have important effects on the uncertainty in the resulting loads. This work identifies the input parameters that have the most impact on ultimate and fatigue loads for extreme storm load cases.
Ana Fernandez-Navamuel, Nicolas Gorostidi, David Pardo, Vincenzo Nava, and Eleni Chatzi
Wind Energ. Sci., 10, 857–885, https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-10-857-2025, https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-10-857-2025, 2025
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This work employs deep neural networks to identify damage in the mooring system of a floating offshore wind turbine using measurements from the platform response. We account for the effect of uncertainty caused by the existence of multiple solutions using a Gaussian mixture model to describe the damage condition estimates. The results reveal the capability of the methodology to discover the uncertainty in the assessment, which increases as the instrumentation system becomes more limited.
Aurélien Babarit, Maximilien André, and Vincent Leroy
Wind Energ. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-2025-15, https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-2025-15, 2025
Revised manuscript accepted for WES
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This study deals with energy performance optimization of Unmoored Floating Offshore Wind turbines (UFOWTs). UFOWTs use thrusters in lieu of mooring systems for position control. Previous studies have shown that net positive power generation can be achieved depending on design. In this study, we investigate the effect of rotor design. Results show that the optimal rated induction factor is smaller than the usual value of 1/3 both from the perspective of energy performance and cost of energy.
Md Sanower Hossain and D. Todd Griffith
Wind Energ. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-2024-156, https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-2024-156, 2024
Revised manuscript accepted for WES
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The document presents an experimental study on the parked loads of floating vertical axis wind turbines (VAWTs) in a wind and waves basin, focusing on the effects of wind speed, solidity, and floating platform dynamics. Findings show that higher wind speed, and higher solidity generally increase the parked loads, while a floating platform introduces additional effects due to tilting. A semi-numerical model was also presented to predict the parked loads, which helps enhance VAWT design.
Mohammad Youssef Mahfouz, Ericka Lozon, Matthew Hall, and Po Wen Cheng
Wind Energ. Sci., 9, 1595–1615, https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-9-1595-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-9-1595-2024, 2024
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As climate change increasingly impacts our daily lives, a transition towards cleaner energy is needed. With all the growth in floating offshore wind and the planned floating wind farms (FWFs) in the next few years, we urgently need new techniques and methodologies to accommodate the differences between the fixed bottom and FWFs. This paper presents a novel methodology to decrease aerodynamic losses inside an FWF by passively relocating the downwind floating wind turbines out of the wakes.
Roger Bergua, Will Wiley, Amy Robertson, Jason Jonkman, Cédric Brun, Jean-Philippe Pineau, Quan Qian, Wen Maoshi, Alec Beardsell, Joshua Cutler, Fabio Pierella, Christian Anker Hansen, Wei Shi, Jie Fu, Lehan Hu, Prokopios Vlachogiannis, Christophe Peyrard, Christopher Simon Wright, Dallán Friel, Øyvind Waage Hanssen-Bauer, Carlos Renan dos Santos, Eelco Frickel, Hafizul Islam, Arjen Koop, Zhiqiang Hu, Jihuai Yang, Tristan Quideau, Violette Harnois, Kelsey Shaler, Stefan Netzband, Daniel Alarcón, Pau Trubat, Aengus Connolly, Seán B. Leen, and Oisín Conway
Wind Energ. Sci., 9, 1025–1051, https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-9-1025-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-9-1025-2024, 2024
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This paper provides a comparison for a floating offshore wind turbine between the motion and loading estimated by numerical models and measurements. The floating support structure is a novel design that includes a counterweight to provide floating stability to the system. The comparison between numerical models and the measurements includes system motion, tower loads, mooring line loads, and loading within the floating support structure.
Robert Behrens de Luna, Sebastian Perez-Becker, Joseph Saverin, David Marten, Francesco Papi, Marie-Laure Ducasse, Félicien Bonnefoy, Alessandro Bianchini, and Christian-Oliver Paschereit
Wind Energ. Sci., 9, 623–649, https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-9-623-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-9-623-2024, 2024
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A novel hydrodynamic module of QBlade is validated on three floating offshore wind turbine concepts with experiments and two widely used simulation tools. Further, a recently proposed method to enhance the prediction of slowly varying drift forces is adopted and tested in varying met-ocean conditions. The hydrodynamic capability of QBlade matches the current state of the art and demonstrates significant improvement regarding the prediction of slowly varying drift forces with the enhanced model.
Kaylie L. Roach, Matthew A. Lackner, and James F. Manwell
Wind Energ. Sci., 8, 1873–1891, https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-8-1873-2023, https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-8-1873-2023, 2023
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This paper presents an upscaling methodology for floating offshore wind turbine platforms using two case studies. The offshore wind turbine industry is trending towards fewer, larger offshore wind turbines within a farm, which is motivated by the per unit cost of a wind farm (including installation, interconnection, and maintenance costs). The results show the platform steel mass to be favorable with upscaling.
Will Wiley, Jason Jonkman, Amy Robertson, and Kelsey Shaler
Wind Energ. Sci., 8, 1575–1595, https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-8-1575-2023, https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-8-1575-2023, 2023
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A sensitivity analysis determined the modeling parameters for an operating floating offshore wind turbine with the biggest impact on the ultimate and fatigue loads. The loads were the most sensitive to the standard deviation of the wind speed. Ultimate and fatigue mooring loads were highly sensitive to the current speed; only the fatigue mooring loads were sensitive to wave parameters. The largest platform rotation was the most sensitive to the platform horizontal center of gravity.
Maciej M. Mroczek, Sanjay Raja Arwade, and Matthew A. Lackner
Wind Energ. Sci., 8, 807–817, https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-8-807-2023, https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-8-807-2023, 2023
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Benefits of orientating a three-legged offshore wind jacket relative to the metocean conditions for pile design are assessed considering the International Energy Agency 15 MW reference turbine and a reference site off the coast of Massachusetts. Results, based on the considered conditions, show that the pile design can be optimized by orientating the jacket relative to the dominant wave direction. This design optimization can be used on offshore wind projects to provide cost and risk reductions.
Patrick Connolly and Curran Crawford
Wind Energ. Sci., 8, 725–746, https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-8-725-2023, https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-8-725-2023, 2023
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Mobile offshore wind energy systems are a potential way of producing green fuels from the untapped wind resource that lies far offshore. Herein, computational models of two such systems were developed and verified. The models are able to predict the power output of each system based on wind condition inputs. Results show that both systems have merits and that, contrary to existing results, unmoored floating wind turbines may produce as much power as fixed ones, given the right conditions.
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Short summary
This study presents a novel model for predicting wind turbine power output at a high temporal resolution in wind farms using a hybrid graph neural network (GNN) and long short-term memory (LSTM) architecture. By modeling the wind farm as a graph, the model captures both spatial and temporal dynamics, outperforming traditional power curve methods. Integrated with a normal behavior model (NBM) framework, the model effectively identifies and analyzes power loss events.
This study presents a novel model for predicting wind turbine power output at a high temporal...
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