Articles | Volume 11, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-11-1077-2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-11-1077-2026
Research article
 | 
01 Apr 2026
Research article |  | 01 Apr 2026

Uncertainty in North Sea offshore wind power: contributions of reanalysis forcing, turbine type, and wake parameterization

Alberto Elizalde, Naveed Akhtar, Beate Geyer, and Corinna Schrum

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Cited articles

Abkar, M. and Porté-Agel, F.: A new wind-farm parameterization for large-scale atmospheric models, J. Renew. Sustain. Ener., 7, https://doi.org/10.1063/1.4907600, 2015. a, b
Akhtar, N. and Chatterjee, F.: Wind farm parametrization in COSMO5.0-clm15, https://doi.org/10.35089/WDCC/WindFarmPCOSMO5.0clm15, 2020. a, b, c, d, e
Akhtar, N., Geyer, B., Rockel, B., Sommer, P. S., and Schrum, C.: Accelerating deployment of offshore wind energy alter wind climate and reduce future power generation potentials, Sci. Rep.-UK, 11, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-91283-3, 2021. a, b, c
Akhtar, N., Geyer, B., and Schrum, C.: Impacts of accelerating deployment of offshore windfarms on near-surface climate, Sci. Rep.-UK, 12, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-22868-9, 2022. a
Akhtar, N., Chatterjee, F., and Borgers, R.: Wind farm parametrization in COSMO5.0-clm15, version 2.0, https://doi.org/10.35089/WDCC/WINDFARMPCOSMO5.0CLM 15_V2, 2023. a
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As green energy demand rises, offshore wind farms in the North Sea are expanding. This study examines the uncertainties in power output predictions, considering turbine arrangements and different atmospheric situations. Using an advanced climate model, we found that power output can vary by up to 10 % due to these reasons. The findings are vital for accurate economic and environmental planning. This research will contribute to a better understanding of the potential of offshore wind energy.
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