Articles | Volume 11, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-11-1251-2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-11-1251-2026
Research article
 | 
17 Apr 2026
Research article |  | 17 Apr 2026

Biases in preconstruction estimates of wind plant annual energy production

Rob Hammond and Eric Simley

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Short summary
Estimating the energy production of a wind plant before construction is a historically difficult task. We build on prior research comparing the actual energy production of wind plants and their estimated energy production using owner-provided energy data. Similar to prior studies, we found an increasing bias of overestimating annual energy production. In general, estimates before construction are not conservative enough, suggesting room for improvements in the energy yield assessment process.
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