Wind Energy Science
Wind Energy Science
WES
Articles | Volume 5, issue 4
Articles | Volume 5, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-5-1449-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-5-1449-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 5, issue 4
Research article
 | 
03 Nov 2020
Research article |  | 03 Nov 2020

Minute-scale power forecast of offshore wind turbines using long-range single-Doppler lidar measurements

Frauke Theuer, Marijn Floris van Dooren, Lueder von Bremen, and Martin Kühn

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Short summary
Very short-term wind power forecasts are gaining increasing importance with the rising share of renewables in today's energy system. In this work, we developed a methodology to forecast wind power of offshore wind turbines on minute scales utilising long-range single-Doppler lidar measurements. The model was able to outperform persistence during unstable stratification in terms of deterministic and probabilistic scores, while it showed large shortcomings for stable atmospheric conditions.
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