Current and future wind energy resources in the North Sea according to CMIP6

Hahmann, Andrea N.; García-Santiago, Oscar; Peña, Alfredo

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-7-2373-2022

Articles | Volume 7, issue 6

https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-7-2373-2022

© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-7-2373-2022

© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Articles | Volume 7, issue 6

Research article

|

02 Dec 2022

Research article |

| 02 Dec 2022

Current and future wind energy resources in the North Sea according to CMIP6

Andrea N. Hahmann, Oscar García-Santiago, and Alfredo Peña

Data sets

tavg1_2d_slv_Nx: 2d, 1-Hourly, Time-Averaged, Single-Level, Assimilation, Single-Level Diagnostics V5.12.4 Global Modeling and Assimilation Office (GMAO) https://doi.org/10.5067/VJAFPLI1CSIV

The Twentieth Century Reanalysis Project V3 National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) https://psl.noaa.gov/data/gridded/data.20thC_ReanV3.html

New European Wind Atlas: Mesoscale Atlas Andrea N. Hahmann, Tija Sīle, Björn Witha, Neil Davis, Martin Dörenkämper, Yasemin Ezber, Elena García-Bustamante, J. Fidel González-Rouco, Jorge Navarro, Bjarke Tobias Olsen, Stefan Söderberg, Jordi Barcons, Mariano Sastre-Marugán, Wilke Trei, Mark Žagar, Jake Badger, Gottschall, Julia, Javier Sanz Rodrigo, Jakob Mann, and Nikola Vasiljevic https://doi.org/10.11583/DTU.14414096.v1

ERA5 hourly data on single levels from 1959 to present H. Hersbach, B. Bell, P. Berrisford, G. Biavati, A. Horányi, J. Muñoz Sabater, J. Nicolas, C. Peubey, R. Radu, I. Rozum, D. Schepers, A. Simmons, C. Soci, D. Dee, and J.-N. Thépaut https://doi.org/10.24381/cds.adbb2d47

Model code and software

DTUWindEnergy/PyWake: PyWake (v1.0.10) Mads M. Pedersen, Paul van der Laan, Mikkel Friis-Møller, Jennifer Rinker, and Pierre-Elouan Réthoré. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.2562662

future-wind GitHub Andrea N. Hahmann https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.7260128

Short summary

We explore the changes in wind energy resources in northern Europe using output from simulations from the Climate Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) under the high-emission scenario. Our results show that climate change does not particularly alter annual energy production in the North Sea but could affect the seasonal distribution of these resources, significantly reducing energy production during the summer from 2031 to 2050.