Modeling frontal low-level jets and associated extreme wind power ramps over the North Sea

Baki, Harish; Basu, Sukanta; Lavidas, George

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-10-1575-2025

Articles | Volume 10, issue 8

https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-10-1575-2025

© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-10-1575-2025

© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Articles | Volume 10, issue 8

Research article

|

06 Aug 2025

Research article |

| 06 Aug 2025

Modeling frontal low-level jets and associated extreme wind power ramps over the North Sea

Harish Baki, Sukanta Basu, and George Lavidas

Data sets

Dataset for "Modelling Frontal Low-Level Jets and Associated Extreme Wind Power Ramps over the North Sea" H. Baki https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.15033463

ERA5 hourly data on pressure levels from 1940 to present H. Hersbach et al. https://doi.org/10.24381/cds.bd0915c6

CERRA sub-daily regional reanalysis data for Europe on pressure levels from 1984 to present S. Schimanke et al. https://doi.org/10.24381/cds.a39ff99f

Short summary

Our study explores how frontal low-level jets (FLLJs) impact wind power production by causing ramp-down events. Using the Weather Research and Forecasting model, we analyzed various modeling configurations and found that initial and boundary conditions, domain configuration, and wind farm parameterization significantly influence simulations. Our findings show such extreme events can be forecasted 1 d in advance, helping manage wind power more efficiently for a stable, reliable energy supply.