Articles | Volume 6, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-6-311-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-6-311-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
An overview of wind-energy-production prediction bias, losses, and uncertainties
Joseph C. Y. Lee
National Wind Technology Center, National Renewable Energy Laboratory,
Golden, CO 80401, USA
M. Jason Fields
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
National Wind Technology Center, National Renewable Energy Laboratory,
Golden, CO 80401, USA
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- Overview of recent observations and simulations from the American WAKE experimeNt (AWAKEN) field campaign P. Moriarty et al. 10.1088/1742-6596/2505/1/012049
- Characterization of atmospheric coherent structures and their impact on a utility-scale wind turbine A. Abraham & J. Hong 10.1017/flo.2021.20
- Seasonal variability of wake impacts on US mid-Atlantic offshore wind plant power production D. Rosencrans et al. 10.5194/wes-9-555-2024
- Grand challenges in the design, manufacture, and operation of future wind turbine systems P. Veers et al. 10.5194/wes-8-1071-2023
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32 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Evaluation of the potential for wake steering for U.S. land-based wind power plants D. Bensason et al. 10.1063/5.0039325
- Advancing Wind Resource Assessment in Complex Terrain with Scanning Lidar Measurements J. Gottschall et al. 10.3390/en14113280
- Simplified model for helical vortex dynamics in the wake of an asymmetric rotor A. Abraham et al. 10.1017/flo.2022.33
- The wide range of factors contributing to wind resource assessment accuracy in complex terrain S. Barber et al. 10.5194/wes-7-1503-2022
- Power Generation by Offshore Wind Turbines: An Overview on Recent Research and Developments S. Basack et al. 10.37394/232016.2021.16.26
- Wind Energy Supply Profiling and Offshore Potential in South Africa S. Karamanski & G. Erfort 10.3390/en16093668
- The sensitivity of the Fitch wind farm parameterization to a three-dimensional planetary boundary layer scheme A. Rybchuk et al. 10.5194/wes-7-2085-2022
- Experimental investigation of blade tip vortex behavior in the wake of asymmetric rotors A. Abraham & T. Leweke 10.1007/s00348-023-03646-3
- Numerical investigation of rotor asymmetry to promote wake recovery A. Abraham et al. 10.1088/1742-6596/2505/1/012032
- Wind power estimation on local scale—A case study of representativeness of reanalysis data and data-driven analysis I. Schicker et al. 10.3389/fclim.2023.1017774
- A New Decision Process for Choosing the Wind Resource Assessment Workflow with the Best Compromise between Accuracy and Costs for a Given Project in Complex Terrain S. Barber et al. 10.3390/en15031110
- Evaluating wind speed and power forecasts for wind energy applications using an open-source and systematic validation framework J. Lee et al. 10.1016/j.renene.2022.09.111
- Characterization of wind turbine flow through nacelle-mounted lidars: a review S. Letizia et al. 10.3389/fmech.2023.1261017
- Multi-fidelity vortex simulations of rotor flows: Validation against detailed wake measurements N. Ramos-García et al. 10.1016/j.compfluid.2023.105790
- Investigating the physical mechanisms that modify wind plant blockage in stable boundary layers M. Sanchez Gomez et al. 10.5194/wes-8-1049-2023
- Exploring cooperation between wind farms: a wake steering optimization study of the Belgian offshore wind farm cluster B. Foloppe et al. 10.1088/1742-6596/2505/1/012055
- Analysis of the systematic errors of energy yield assessment in the context of wind farm repowering P. Mazoyer et al. 10.1088/1742-6596/2507/1/012016
- Evaluation and Comparison of Different Methods for Improving Fault Ride-Through Capability in Grid-Tied Permanent Magnet Synchronous Wind Generators M. Mahmoud et al. 10.1155/2023/7717070
- Machine learning for predicting offshore vertical wind profiles F. Rouholahnejad et al. 10.1088/1742-6596/2626/1/012023
- Uncovering wind power forecasting uncertainty sources and their propagation through the whole modelling chain J. Yan et al. 10.1016/j.rser.2022.112519
- A three-dimensional, analytical wind turbine wake model: Flow acceleration, empirical correlations, and continuity Z. Sadek et al. 10.1016/j.renene.2023.03.129
- Wind power production from very large offshore wind farms S. Pryor et al. 10.1016/j.joule.2021.09.002
- Materials and systems for polymer-based Metallocene batteries: Status and challenges S. Beladi-Mousavi & L. Walder 10.1016/j.polymer.2022.124658
- The wind farm as a sensor: learning and explaining orographic and plant-induced flow heterogeneities from operational data R. Braunbehrens et al. 10.5194/wes-8-691-2023
- Offshore wind power system economic evaluation framework under aleatory and epistemic uncertainty A. Caputo et al. 10.1016/j.apenergy.2023.121585
- Optimization and control strategy for wind turbine aerodynamic performance under uncertainties H. Tian et al. 10.1063/5.0167442
- Evaluating Wind Speed and Power Forecasts for Wind Energy Applications Using an Open-Source and Systematic Validation Framework J. Lee et al. 10.2139/ssrn.4064500
- Using Observed and Modelled Heat Fluxes for Improved Extrapolation of Wind Distributions R. Floors et al. 10.1007/s10546-023-00803-3
- Overview of recent observations and simulations from the American WAKE experimeNt (AWAKEN) field campaign P. Moriarty et al. 10.1088/1742-6596/2505/1/012049
- Characterization of atmospheric coherent structures and their impact on a utility-scale wind turbine A. Abraham & J. Hong 10.1017/flo.2021.20
- Seasonal variability of wake impacts on US mid-Atlantic offshore wind plant power production D. Rosencrans et al. 10.5194/wes-9-555-2024
- Grand challenges in the design, manufacture, and operation of future wind turbine systems P. Veers et al. 10.5194/wes-8-1071-2023
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Latest update: 28 Mar 2024
Short summary
This review paper evaluates the energy prediction bias in the wind resource assessment process, and the overprediction bias is decreasing over time. We examine the estimated and observed losses and uncertainties in energy production from the literature, according to the proposed framework in the International Electrotechnical Commission 61400-15 standard. The considerable uncertainties call for further improvements in the prediction methodologies and more observations for validation.
This review paper evaluates the energy prediction bias in the wind resource assessment process,...
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