Wind Energy Science
Wind Energy Science
WES
Articles | Volume 7, issue 5
Articles | Volume 7, issue 5
https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-7-2099-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-7-2099-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 7, issue 5
Research article
 | 
24 Oct 2022
Research article |  | 24 Oct 2022

Observer-based power forecast of individual and aggregated offshore wind turbines

Frauke Theuer, Andreas Rott, Jörge Schneemann, Lueder von Bremen, and Martin Kühn

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Latest update: 05 May 2024
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Short summary
Remote-sensing-based approaches have shown potential for minute-scale forecasting and need to be further developed towards an operational use. In this work we extend a lidar-based forecast to an observer-based probabilistic power forecast by combining it with a SCADA-based method. We further aggregate individual turbine power using a copula approach. We found that the observer-based forecast benefits from combining lidar and SCADA data and can outperform persistence for unstable stratification.
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