Wind Energy Science
Wind Energy Science
Wind Energy Science
Articles | Volume 5, issue 4
Articles | Volume 5, issue 4
Wind Energ. Sci., 5, 1435–1448, 2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-5-1435-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Wind Energ. Sci., 5, 1435–1448, 2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-5-1435-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 5, issue 4
Research article
31 Oct 2020
Research article | 31 Oct 2020

Operational-based annual energy production uncertainty: are its components actually uncorrelated?

Nicola Bodini and Mike Optis

Viewed

Total article views: 1,666 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
HTML PDF XML Total BibTeX EndNote
1,085 518 63 1,666 72 68
  • HTML: 1,085
  • PDF: 518
  • XML: 63
  • Total: 1,666
  • BibTeX: 72
  • EndNote: 68
Views and downloads (calculated since 19 Dec 2019)
Cumulative views and downloads (calculated since 19 Dec 2019)

Viewed (geographical distribution)

Total article views: 1,666 (including HTML, PDF, and XML) Thereof 1,439 with geography defined and 227 with unknown origin.
Country # Views %
  • 1
1
 
 
 
 

Cited

Latest update: 04 Dec 2022
Download
Short summary
Calculations of annual energy production (AEP) and its uncertainty are critical for wind farm financial transactions. Standard industry practice assumes that different uncertainty categories within an AEP calculation are uncorrelated and can therefore be combined through a sum of squares approach. In this project, we show the limits of this assumption by performing operational AEP estimates for over 470 wind farms in the United States and propose a more accurate way to combine uncertainties.
Read more