Wind Energy Science
Wind Energy Science
WES
Articles | Volume 5, issue 4
Articles | Volume 5, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-5-1435-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-5-1435-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 5, issue 4
Research article
 | 
31 Oct 2020
Research article |  | 31 Oct 2020

Operational-based annual energy production uncertainty: are its components actually uncorrelated?

Nicola Bodini and Mike Optis

Viewed

Total article views: 2,822 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
HTML PDF XML Total BibTeX EndNote
2,002 718 102 2,822 112 105
  • HTML: 2,002
  • PDF: 718
  • XML: 102
  • Total: 2,822
  • BibTeX: 112
  • EndNote: 105
Views and downloads (calculated since 19 Dec 2019)
Cumulative views and downloads (calculated since 19 Dec 2019)

Viewed (geographical distribution)

Total article views: 2,822 (including HTML, PDF, and XML) Thereof 2,557 with geography defined and 265 with unknown origin.
Country # Views %
  • 1
1
 
 
 
 

Cited

Latest update: 20 Nov 2024
Download
Short summary
Calculations of annual energy production (AEP) and its uncertainty are critical for wind farm financial transactions. Standard industry practice assumes that different uncertainty categories within an AEP calculation are uncorrelated and can therefore be combined through a sum of squares approach. In this project, we show the limits of this assumption by performing operational AEP estimates for over 470 wind farms in the United States and propose a more accurate way to combine uncertainties.
Read more
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint